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England v Sri Lanka Preview: Pakistan Triangular Series ODI at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore

England vs Sri Lanka ODI preview at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore: head-to-head, recent form, venue data and a CricStats prediction of 60-40.

England and Sri Lanka meet in the sixth match of the Pakistan Triangular Series at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore, on Thursday, 29 October 2026. CricStats data shows a near-even all-time record, a tightly contested recent run and a modest numerical edge to England. This preview breaks down the numbers.

Head-to-Head Record in ODIs

The two sides have met 86 times in ODIs since 1982. England hold a narrow lead of two wins, which translates to roughly 48.8% against 46.5% for Sri Lanka.

MetricValue
Matches played86
England wins42
Sri Lanka wins40
Tied / drawn / no result4

Last Five Meetings

England have won three of the last five encounters, while Sri Lanka have won two. The most recent meeting went to the final over.

DateVenueResult
22 Oct 2026Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumSri Lanka won by 2 wickets (1 ball remaining)
27 Sep 2026Kennington OvalEngland won by 223 runs
24 Sep 2026HeadingleySri Lanka won by 16 runs
22 Sep 2026Riverside GroundEngland won by 89 runs
27 Jan 2026R.Premadasa StadiumEngland won by 53 runs

The margins vary widely, from a one-ball finish to a 223-run result. That spread suggests outcomes in this fixture are driven by batting-innings volatility rather than steady dominance.

Recent Form: Last 10 ODIs

England have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 completed ODIs. Sri Lanka have won 3 and lost 7 across the same window. England have lost their last three, including defeats to Pakistan on 20 October and 25 October and to Sri Lanka on 22 October.

TeamLast 10 (newest first)WonLostWin rate
EnglandL L L W L W W W L W5550%
Sri LankaW L L W L L L W L L3730%

Form Context

Sri Lanka's most recent result is their two-wicket win over England, but they lost to Pakistan by 37 runs on 18 October. England's recent losses came by 87 runs, by 1 wicket with 17 balls remaining, and by 2 wickets with 1 ball remaining. Two of those three were close chases, so the form line looks worse than the underlying margins in some cases.

Venue Data: Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore

Gaddafi Stadium has hosted 74 completed ODIs. Teams batting first have won 39, while teams chasing have won 31. That is about 52.7% for batting first and 41.9% for chasing, a modest lean towards setting a target.

Venue metricValue
Completed ODIs74
Won batting first39
Won chasing31
Average first-innings total259

An average first-innings score of 259 gives a reference point for what a competitive total has looked like historically at this ground.

Players in Form Over the Last 12 Months

Squads for this match are not confirmed, so the names below are players who have been in form in ODIs over the last 12 months, not certain starters.

England

BatterRunsInningsBest
Joe Root70714111
Harry Brook60814202
Ben Duckett57914141
BowlerWicketsMatches
Jamie Overton1511
Sam Curran1311
Will Jacks1211

Sri Lanka

BatterRunsInningsBest
Pavan Rathnayake4829130
Kusal Mendis40911121
Janith Liyanage3421161
BowlerWicketsMatches
Asitha Fernando1410
Jeffrey Vandersay84
Dunith Wellalage87

Rathnayake's 482 runs in 9 innings is the most efficient return among the batters listed, at about 53.6 runs per innings. Root (about 50.5) and Brook (about 43.4) lead the England group on the same measure.

Top Performers in This Fixture Since 2021

England batters dominate the run charts in this matchup since 2021. Harry Brook has 531 runs in 7 innings, which is about 75.9 per innings.

CategoryPlayerTeamReturn
RunsHarry BrookEngland531 in 7 inns
RunsJoe RootEngland396 in 8 inns
RunsPavan RathnayakeSri Lanka371 in 7 inns
WicketsAsitha FernandoSri Lanka10 wkts
WicketsWill JacksEngland9 wkts
WicketsLiam DawsonEngland8 wkts

CricStats Data Lean and Prediction

Across the last 10 decisive meetings between the sides, England hold a 60% to 40% advantage. England's recent win rate is 50%, compared with 30% for Sri Lanka.

IndicatorEnglandSri Lanka
Head-to-head, last 10 decisive meetings60%40%
Recent win rate (last 10 ODIs)50%30%

On these numbers, England are slight favourites, with a 60% to 40% lean. This is a statistical indication, not a certainty. Sri Lanka's win on 22 October shows how narrow the margins can be, and the venue's batting-first record adds another variable to watch.