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Pakistan v England Preview and Prediction: 4th ODI, Pakistan Triangular Series, Lahore

CricStats previews Pakistan v England, 4th ODI at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore, with head-to-head, form and venue data. The numbers lean England 57%-43%.

Pakistan v England Preview and Prediction: 4th ODI, Pakistan Triangular Series, Lahore

Pakistan host England in the 4th match of the Pakistan Triangular Series at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore, on Sunday, 25 October 2026. The CricStats data lean gives England a slight edge at 57% to 43%. Pakistan's 87-run win on 20 October keeps the contest closely balanced.

Head-to-Head Record in ODIs

England hold a clear all-time advantage in this fixture. Across 91 ODIs since 1974, they have won 56 to Pakistan's 32, with 3 ending as ties, draws or no results.

MetricPakistanEngland
ODIs played9191
Wins3256
Win percentage35.2%61.5%
Last 10 decisive meetings30%70%

The recent decisive-meeting split of 30% to 70% points the same way as the all-time record. Pakistan have the more recent result, though.

Most Recent Meetings

England won three consecutive ODIs in July 2021. Pakistan have won the last two meetings listed, including the 20 October 2026 match.

DateVenueResult
20 Oct 2026Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumPakistan won by 87 runs
13 Jul 2021EdgbastonEngland won by 3 wickets (12 balls remaining)
10 Jul 2021Lord'sEngland won by 52 runs
8 Jul 2021Sophia GardensEngland won by 9 wickets (169 balls remaining)
3 Jun 2019Trent BridgePakistan won by 14 runs

Recent Form Across Both Sides

Pakistan have won 7 of their last 10 completed ODIs, a 70% win rate. England have won 6 of 10, or 60%.

TeamLast 10 (newest first)WonLostWin rate
PakistanW W L W L W W W W L7370%
EnglandL L W L W W W L W W6460%

Pakistan beat Sri Lanka by 37 runs on 18 October before beating England by 87 runs on 20 October. England followed that defeat with a 2-wicket loss to Sri Lanka on 22 October, with one ball remaining.

Form Trend

England's last five ODIs read L L W L W, with two wins and three defeats. Pakistan's last five read W W L W L, also three wins and two defeats in the sequence shown. The gap in recent form is narrow.

Gaddafi Stadium: Venue Data

Gaddafi Stadium has hosted 73 completed ODIs. Sides batting first have won 39 (53.4%), against 30 for chasing sides (41.1%). The remaining 4 completed matches fall outside both counts.

Venue metricValue
Completed ODIs73
Won batting first39
Won chasing30
Average first-innings total259
Pakistan v England meetings at venue6

The venue history gives a modest lean towards setting a target. The average first-innings total of 259 is a useful benchmark for both sides.

Players in Form Over the Last 12 Months

Squads for this match are not confirmed. The figures below describe players who have been in form over the last 12 months, not certain starters.

Pakistan

Salman Agha leads Pakistan's batting numbers at 54.5 runs per innings. Haris Rauf has the strongest wicket rate, at 2.4 wickets per match.

PlayerRoleOutputRate
Salman AghaBatting545 runs in 10 inns (best 107)54.5 runs per inns
Babar AzamBatting289 runs in 8 inns (best 102)36.1 runs per inns
Mohammad RizwanBatting266 runs in 9 inns (best 61)29.6 runs per inns
Haris RaufBowling19 wkts in 8 matches2.4 wkts per match
Shaheen Shah AfridiBowling11 wkts in 10 matches1.1 wkts per match
Abrar AhmedBowling11 wkts in 5 matches2.2 wkts per match

England

Harry Brook and Joe Root have both passed 700 runs across 14 innings. Brook's best of 202 is the highest individual score in the group.

PlayerRoleOutputRate
Harry BrookBatting742 runs in 14 inns (best 202)53.0 runs per inns
Joe RootBatting704 runs in 14 inns (best 111)50.3 runs per inns
Ben DuckettBatting476 runs in 14 inns (best 141)34.0 runs per inns
Sam CurranBowling13 wkts in 11 matches1.2 wkts per match
Adil RashidBowling12 wkts in 10 matches1.2 wkts per match
Jamie OvertonBowling12 wkts in 11 matches1.1 wkts per match

England's batting depth looks stronger on volume, with three batters above 470 runs. Pakistan's bowling shows the sharper strike rate per match.

Top Performers in This Fixture Since 2021

Hasan Nawaz (Pakistan) leads the run chart with 79 in one innings. Arafat Minhas scored 59 in one innings and also leads the wicket chart with 6. Tom Banton (England) made 57 in one innings.

CategoryPlayerOutput
RunsHasan Nawaz (Pakistan)79 in 1 inns
RunsArafat Minhas (Pakistan)59 in 1 inns
RunsTom Banton (England)57 in 1 inns
WicketsArafat Minhas (Pakistan)6 wkts
WicketsSonny Baker (England)3 wkts
WicketsHaris Rauf (Pakistan)2 wkts

CricStats Data Lean and Prediction

The CricStats model combines head-to-head results, recent win rates and venue history. On those inputs, England are slight favourites at 57%, with Pakistan at 43%.

InputPakistanEngland
Last 10 decisive meetings30%70%
Recent win rate70%60%
CricStats data lean43%57%

This is what the numbers suggest, not a certainty. Pakistan's stronger recent win rate and their latest result against England offset part of England's historical edge. The margin between the sides remains narrow.

RECENT RESULTS 3 matches