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New Zealand v India 5th T20I Preview: Seddon Park Data Points to India as Favourites

New Zealand v India 5th T20I preview at Seddon Park: head-to-head, form and venue data point to India as favourites with an 82% CricStats lean.

New Zealand host India in the 5th T20I of the series at Seddon Park, Hamilton, on Sunday, 1 November 2026. The CricStats data model leans clearly towards the visitors, giving India an 82% edge to New Zealand's 18%. This preview examines head-to-head records, recent form, venue trends and in-form performers.

Head-to-Head Record in T20Is

India hold a clear historical advantage in this fixture. Across 32 T20Is since the first meeting in 2007, India have won 20 and New Zealand 11, with one match ending without a winner.

MetricValue
Matches played32
New Zealand wins11
India wins20
Tied/drawn/no result1
Previous meetings at Seddon Park2

The recent trend is even more one-sided. In the last 10 decisive meetings, the CricStats data lean stands at New Zealand 10% and India 90%.

Most Recent Meetings

DateResult
27 Oct 2026India won by 6 wickets (40 balls remaining)
24 Oct 2026India won by 4 wickets (1 ball remaining), Hagley Oval
22 Oct 2026India won by 4 wickets (2 balls remaining), Hagley Oval
8 Mar 2026India won by 96 runs, Sardar Patel Stadium
31 Jan 2026India won by 46 runs, Thiruvananthapuram

India have won all five of the latest meetings. Two of the three October wins came with one or two balls to spare, which suggests New Zealand have been competitive in patches. The most recent game, however, was settled with 40 balls remaining.

Recent Form: Contrasting Trajectories

Over the last 10 completed T20Is against any opponent, the two sides sit far apart. New Zealand have won 3 and lost 7, while India have won 7 and lost 2, with one no result.

TeamLast 10 sequence (newest first)WonLostRecent win rate
New ZealandL L L L L W W L L W3730%
IndiaW W W NR L W L W W W7278%

New Zealand have lost their last five completed T20Is: three to India in October and two to South Africa in March, by 19 and 33 runs. India's only recent defeat in that window came against West Indies by 24 runs on 14 October, followed by a no result on 17 October.

Seddon Park Venue Trends

Seddon Park has hosted 14 completed T20Is. Eight were won by the side batting first and five by the side chasing, a modest lean towards setting a target. The average first-innings total at the ground is 180.

Seddon Park T20I metricValue
Completed T20Is14
Won batting first8
Won chasing5
Average first-innings total180

A par score near 180 places a premium on powerplay batting and disciplined death bowling. India chased successfully in all three October meetings, so the venue's slight bias towards batting first is not a decisive factor on its own.

In-Form Performers Over the Last 12 Months

Squads for this match are not confirmed, so the players below are described as those who have been in form in T20Is over the past year, not as certain starters.

New Zealand Batting and Bowling

PlayerDisciplineOutputBest
Glenn PhillipsBatting526 runs in 14 inns82
Finn AllenBatting479 runs in 12 inns100
Tim SeifertBatting462 runs in 15 inns89
Mitchell SantnerBowling24 wkts in 22 matches-
Jacob DuffyBowling20 wkts in 17 matches-
Kyle JamiesonBowling15 wkts in 15 matches-

India Batting and Bowling

PlayerDisciplineOutputBest
Abhishek SharmaBatting1264 runs in 42 inns113
Ishan KishanBatting1146 runs in 32 inns103
Tilak VarmaBatting850 runs in 36 inns73
Arshdeep SinghBowling44 wkts in 31 matches-
Axar PatelBowling36 wkts in 30 matches-
Varun ChakravarthyBowling35 wkts in 22 matches-

India's volume stands out. Their three leading batters have each scored more than 800 runs, and their top bowler has taken 44 wickets. New Zealand's leaders have played fewer innings but have produced two scores of 89 or above.

Head-to-Head Performers Since 2021

In this fixture since 2021, Suryakumar Yadav leads the run charts with 526 runs in 14 innings. Glenn Phillips (474 in 17) and Daryl Mitchell (472 in 18) lead the New Zealand contributors.

CategoryPlayerOutput
RunsSuryakumar Yadav (India)526 in 14 inns
RunsGlenn Phillips (New Zealand)474 in 17 inns
RunsDaryl Mitchell (New Zealand)472 in 18 inns
WicketsArshdeep Singh (India)21 wkts
WicketsMitchell Santner (New Zealand)18 wkts
WicketsAxar Patel (India)13 wkts

CricStats Prediction

The numbers favour India across every measured dimension. They lead the all-time record 20-11, hold a 90% lean over the last 10 decisive meetings, and carry a 78% recent win rate against New Zealand's 30%.

Combined, the CricStats data lean gives India an 82% chance and New Zealand 18%. This is a reading of the historical and form data, not a certainty. A venue average of 180 and recent finishes with one or two balls to spare show that T20 margins can be narrow.

RECENT RESULTS 2 matches