New Zealand host India in the 5th ODI at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, on Sunday, 15 November 2026. India lead the all-time record, and recent meetings have tilted their way. This CricStats preview works through head-to-head data, form, venue trends and in-form performers to frame a data-based lean.
Head-to-Head: India Hold the Historical Edge
The two sides have met 126 times in ODIs since 1975. India have won 65 of those games, New Zealand 52, with 9 ending as ties, draws or no results.
| Metric | Value |
|---|
| Matches played | 126 |
| India wins | 65 |
| New Zealand wins | 52 |
| Tied / drawn / no result | 9 |
| Meetings at Bay Oval | 3 |
Across the last 10 decisive meetings, India have won 80% and New Zealand 20%. That is a sharper gap than the all-time record suggests.
Most Recent Meetings
| Date | Result | Venue |
|---|
| 10 Nov 2026 | No result (abandoned with a toss) | Seddon Park |
| 7 Nov 2026 | India won by 4 runs (DLS method) | Not listed |
| 4 Nov 2026 | India won by 5 wickets, 56 balls remaining (DLS method) | Eden Park |
| 18 Jan 2026 | New Zealand won by 41 runs | Holkar Cricket Stadium |
| 14 Jan 2026 | New Zealand won by 7 wickets, 15 balls remaining | Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium |
India won both completed games in the November window. New Zealand won both January meetings, so the recent record is not one-sided across the full five games.
Recent Form: Level on the Numbers
Both teams have won 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 completed ODIs, with one no result each. Both carry a recent win rate of 56%.
| Team | Last 10 (newest first) | Won | Lost | Recent win rate |
|---|
| New Zealand | NR L L L W W W L W W | 5 | 4 | 56% |
| India | NR W W L W W L L W L | 5 | 4 | 56% |
The three most recent results for each side come from the same series. Before that, New Zealand lost 2 wickets-down-the-order finishes against West Indies on 22 July and won a one-wicket game on 20 July. India lost to West Indies by 5 wickets on 3 October after an 8-wicket win on 30 September.
Venue Profile: Bay Oval Has Favoured the Chase
Bay Oval has hosted 17 completed ODIs. Teams batting first have won 7 and teams chasing have won 10.
| Bay Oval ODI metric | Value |
|---|
| Completed ODIs | 17 |
| Won batting first | 7 |
| Won chasing | 10 |
| Average first-innings total | 244 |
A first-innings average of 244 gives a benchmark for par scores here. The chasing edge is modest but consistent with the venue record.
Players in Form Over the Last 12 Months
Squads for this match are not confirmed, so the names below are players who have been in form, not certain starters. The figures cover all ODIs over the last 12 months.
Batting
Mitchell has scored 675 runs in just 9 innings, the most efficient volume among the New Zealand names. Kohli leads all listed batters with 935 runs.
Bowling
| Player | Team | Wickets | Matches |
|---|
| Kyle Jamieson | New Zealand | 17 | 8 |
| Jayden Lennox | New Zealand | 17 | 7 |
| Jacob Duffy | New Zealand | 13 | 9 |
| Kuldeep Yadav | India | 19 | 10 |
| Prasidh Krishna | India | 18 | 10 |
| Gurnoor Brar | India | 15 | 9 |
Lennox has taken 17 wickets in 7 matches, the best per-match return of the group. Kuldeep leads the listed bowlers with 19 wickets.
Top Performers in This Fixture Since 2021
| Category | Player | Team | Total |
|---|
| Runs | Daryl Mitchell | New Zealand | 824 in 13 innings |
| Runs | Shubman Gill | India | 779 in 15 innings |
| Runs | Virat Kohli | India | 600 in 12 innings |
| Wickets | Mohammed Shami | India | 17 |
| Wickets | Kuldeep Yadav | India | 16 |
| Wickets | Kyle Jamieson | New Zealand | 12 |
Mitchell tops the run charts in this fixture since 2021. India hold two of the top three run spots and two of the top three wicket spots.
CricStats Data Lean: India Slight Favourites
The CricStats model combines head-to-head record and recent form. On the numbers, India are slight favourites.
| Indicator | New Zealand | India |
|---|
| Last 10 decisive meetings | 20% | 80% |
| Recent win rate | 56% | 56% |
| CricStats data lean | 35% | 65% |
The lean rests mainly on India's head-to-head record, since recent form is level. Bay Oval's 10-7 record in favour of chasing sides is a factor that could narrow the gap. The numbers suggest India are ahead, but this is a probability, not a certainty.