Bangladesh host West Indies in the first Test at Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur, on 28 October 2026. This CricStats preview uses head-to-head records, recent form, venue trends and individual performers to frame a numbers-based prediction, which leans slightly toward the visitors.
Head-to-Head: West Indies Hold a Clear Historical Lead
The two sides have met 20 times in Tests since 2002. West Indies have won 14 of those matches, Bangladesh 4, and 2 ended as a tie, draw or no result.
That gives West Indies a 70% win share in the fixture against 20% for Bangladesh. Four of those meetings have been played at Mirpur.
| Category | Matches | Share |
|---|
| Bangladesh wins | 4 | 20% |
| West Indies wins | 14 | 70% |
| Tied/drawn/no result | 2 | 10% |
| Total played | 20 | 100% |
Most Recent Meetings
West Indies have won four of the last five Tests between the sides. Bangladesh's only win in that span came in November 2018, by an innings and 184 runs at this venue.
| Date | Result | Venue |
|---|
| 24 Jun 2022 | West Indies won by 10 wickets | Beausejour Cricket Ground |
| 16 Jun 2022 | West Indies won by 7 wickets | Sir Vivian Richards Stadium |
| 11 Feb 2021 | West Indies won by 17 runs | Shere Bangla National Stadium |
| 3 Feb 2021 | West Indies won by 3 wickets | Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium |
| 30 Nov 2018 | Bangladesh won by an innings and 184 runs | Shere Bangla National Stadium |
Recent Form: Bangladesh Ahead on Current Numbers
Current form points the other way. Bangladesh have won 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 Tests, with 2 draws. West Indies have won 2 and lost 6, also with 2 draws.
Counting only decided matches, Bangladesh's recent win rate is 50% and West Indies' is 25%. The most recent results are below.
| Team | Last 10 (newest first) | Won | Lost | Drawn |
|---|
| Bangladesh | D L W W W L D W L L | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| West Indies | L W D W L L D L L L | 2 | 6 | 2 |
Latest Results for Each Side
Bangladesh drew with Afghanistan on 9 October 2026, after losing to Australia by an innings and 51 runs on 22 August. They had beaten Australia by 9 wickets in the previous Test, on 13 August.
West Indies lost to Pakistan by 8 wickets on 2 August 2026, a week after beating them by 90 runs. Before that they drew with Sri Lanka and beat them by an innings and 217 runs.
Venue Profile: Shere Bangla National Stadium
Mirpur has hosted 29 completed Tests. Teams batting first have won 11 and teams chasing have won 10, so the split is close. The average first-innings total is 325.
| Venue metric | Value |
|---|
| Completed Tests | 29 |
| Won batting first | 11 |
| Won chasing | 10 |
| Average first-innings total | 325 |
A 325 average suggests first-innings runs matter. The near-even split between batting-first and chasing wins means the toss alone should not be treated as decisive.
Players Who Have Been in Form
Squads are not confirmed, so the players below are those with strong Test numbers over the last 12 months, not certain starters.
Bowling Form and Fixture History
Among Bangladesh bowlers, Hasan Mahmud has 17 wickets in 4 matches, Taijul Islam 16 in 5 and Mehidy Hasan Miraz 15 in 5. For West Indies, Jayden Seales has 21 wickets in 7 matches, Kemar Roach 20 in 6 and Justin Greaves 16 in 6.
In this fixture since 2021, Kraigg Brathwaite leads the run charts with 259 runs in 8 innings. Litton Das has 189 runs in 8 innings and Jaker Ali 176 in 4. Alzarri Joseph leads the wickets with 21, ahead of Kemar Roach (19) and Jayden Seales (19).
CricStats Data Lean and Prediction
Over the last 10 decisive meetings, West Indies hold an 80% share against 20% for Bangladesh. That long-run edge outweighs Bangladesh's stronger recent win rate.
| Indicator | Bangladesh | West Indies |
|---|
| Last 10 decisive meetings | 20% | 80% |
| Recent win rate | 50% | 25% |
| CricStats data lean | 41% | 59% |
On the numbers, West Indies are slight favourites at 59% to Bangladesh's 41%. This is a statistical lean, not a certainty. Team news, conditions and the toss will shape the actual outcome.