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Afghanistan v Zimbabwe 1st Test Preview: Head-to-Head, Form and Data-Based Prediction

Afghanistan v Zimbabwe 1st Test preview: head-to-head record, recent form, top performers and a data-based prediction from CricStats numbers.

Afghanistan v Zimbabwe 1st Test Preview: Head-to-Head, Form and Data-Based Prediction

Afghanistan and Zimbabwe open their Test series on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with the head-to-head record level at two wins each. Both sides arrive with modest recent form, and CricStats data finds little separating them. This preview examines the numbers behind the fixture and the data-based lean.

Head-to-Head Record in Tests

The two teams have played five Tests since their first meeting in 2021. Afghanistan and Zimbabwe have won two each, with one match drawn.

Across the four decisive results, the split is 50% each. Neither team holds a measurable historical edge.

CategoryRecord
Tests played5
Afghanistan wins2
Zimbabwe wins2
Tied, drawn or no result1
First meeting2021

Most Recent Meetings

Zimbabwe won the latest contest by an innings and 73 runs at Harare Sports Club on 20 October 2025. Before that, Afghanistan won by 72 runs at Queens Sports Club on 2 January 2025.

Results have alternated across three venues, which supports the case for a balanced series.

DateResultVenue
20 Oct 2025Zimbabwe won by an innings and 73 runsHarare Sports Club
2 Jan 2025Afghanistan won by 72 runsQueens Sports Club
26 Dec 2024Match drawnQueens Sports Club
10 Mar 2021Afghanistan won by 6 wicketsSheikh Zayed Stadium
2 Mar 2021Zimbabwe won by 10 wicketsSheikh Zayed Stadium

Recent Form Across the Last 10 Tests

Neither side enters this series with strong form. Afghanistan have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2 of their last 10 completed Tests. Zimbabwe have won 2 and lost 8.

Afghanistan's sequence reads D L W D L L L W L L, newest first. Zimbabwe's reads W L L L L L L W L L.

TeamWonLostDrawnSequence (newest first)
Afghanistan262D L W D L L L W L L
Zimbabwe280W L L L L L L W L L

Context Behind the Results

Afghanistan's most recent Test was a draw against Bangladesh on 9 October 2026. Zimbabwe's latest Test in the data is their innings win over Afghanistan on 20 October 2025.

Zimbabwe's other recent results include defeats by an innings and 359 runs against New Zealand and by an innings and 236 runs against South Africa. The Afghanistan win stands out in that run.

CricStats puts Afghanistan's recent win rate at 25% and Zimbabwe's at 20%. The gap is small and favours Afghanistan slightly.

Afghanistan Players Who Have Been in Form

Squads for this match are not confirmed, so the names below are players in form over the last 12 months, not certain starters. The figures cover Tests only.

Batting Form Over the Last 12 Months

BatterRunsInningsBest score
Rahmat Shah1562105
Sediqullah Atal1282111
Ikram Alikhil65233

Rahmat Shah and Sediqullah Atal each produced a century-level best score in only two innings. The sample is small, so it points to form rather than a long-term average.

Bowling Form Over the Last 12 Months

BowlerWicketsMatches
Mohammad Saleem61
Yamin Ahmadzai51
Zia-ur-Rehman21

All three bowling returns come from a single match each. They show recent wicket-taking output but not sustained consistency.

Top Performers in This Fixture Since 2021

Historical output in this fixture gives a clearer view of who has performed against the opposition. Rahmat Shah leads the run chart with 392 runs in 3 innings, about 130.7 runs per innings.

Hashmatullah Shahidi has scored 286 runs in 5 innings, about 57.2 per innings. Ben Curran of Zimbabwe has 283 runs in 5 innings, about 56.6 per innings.

BatterTeamRunsInnings
Rahmat ShahAfghanistan3923
Hashmatullah ShahidiAfghanistan2865
Ben CurranZimbabwe2835

In the wicket column, Zimbabwe's Blessing Muzarabani leads with 15 wickets. Rashid Khan has 11 for Afghanistan and Richard Ngarava has 9 for Zimbabwe.

BowlerTeamWickets
Blessing MuzarabaniZimbabwe15
Rashid KhanAfghanistan11
Richard NgaravaZimbabwe9

CricStats Data Prediction

The CricStats data lean is computed from the head-to-head record and recent win rates. It gives Afghanistan 51% and Zimbabwe 49%, which is too close to call.

MetricAfghanistanZimbabwe
Head-to-head, last 4 decisive meetings50%50%
Recent win rate25%20%
Overall data lean51%49%

What the Numbers Suggest

The data suggests an evenly matched series opener, with Afghanistan holding a marginal edge on recent win rate. A two-point gap in the lean is not a strong signal.

The lean does not account for squads, playing conditions or toss, none of which are confirmed in this data. It should be read as a statistical starting point, not a certainty.

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